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Back Brighton and Burnley in Championship Battles

April 28, 2016

Brighton, Burnley and Middlesbrough are in a three-way battle for promotion.

We hit another three winners from three bets in last week’s Championship as Brighton won 3-1 away at Charlton, Rotherham took a point from Wolves, and Fulham combined with Nottingham Forest to land the over 2.5 goal bet. That makes it a very profitable run over the last couple of months in England’s second tier, and we’re back again this week with three more stand out bets.

The only place to concentrate is the top of the table where it could barely be any tighter as Brighton, Burnley and Middlesbrough battle it out for the two automatic promotion spots. The three teams are locked together on 87 points and with just 3 goals separating them on goal difference it’s all to play for. Burnley may have the upper hand as Boro and Brighton meet on the final day in what is shaping up to be a promotion decider, but each of the three teams know they can’t afford to make mistakes in the last two games. Boro face a tricky away trip to Birmingham on Friday night, but it’s the two games on Bank Holiday Monday that catch the eye as Brighton host Derby and Burnley host QPR.

Meanwhile, the bookies have finally cottoned on to Fulham’s habit of going over 2.5 goals and there is little value in backing them to feature in another high-scoring game at Brentford, but the match between Bristol City and Huddersfield is one that looks primed for plenty of goal-mouth action.

Brighton v Derby

First up it’s Brighton who are fancied to take care of a Derby side with little to play for at 1.63Bet €100 to win €16363/100Bet £100 to win £163-159Bet $100 to win $1630.63Bet HK$100 to win HK$163-1.59Bet Rp100 to win Rp1630.6300Bet RM100 to win RM163  with Marathonbet

The Seagulls have been on a magnificent run over recent weeks, winning seven out of eight to draw level with Burnley and Boro. They’ve won the last two home games 5-0 against Fulham and 4-0 against QPR and with goal difference possibly proving crucial at the business end, they have given themselves a real chance of snatching one of the automatic places. At the moment they trail Middlesbrough by two goals and Burnley by three goals in the goal difference stakes, but they are the divisions top scorers with 70 which gives them a slight advantage if they were to finish level. The three points is obviously the big priority on Monday, but they will also be going all out to close that gap by hitting the back of the net more than once.

Derby are a strong side at this level and sit in 5th position, but they cannot catch the top three and nor can they lose out on a play off place, so the rest of the season will be all about preparing and staying fresh for that mini-competition. They’ve won their last two aways at Bristol City and Charlton, but had lost three out of four on the road prior to that and lost 2-0 on their last visit here in March 2015.

With one side fighting tooth and nail for the points and the other having one eye on the upcoming play offs, there is only one result to be on on Monday afternoon and it’s a home win.

Burnley v QPR

A similar case can be made for Burnley and they are worth backing despite the skinny odds of 1.31Bet €100 to win €13131/100Bet £100 to win £131-323Bet $100 to win $1310.31Bet HK$100 to win HK$131-3.23Bet Rp100 to win Rp1310.3100Bet RM100 to win RM131  with Marathonbet

The Clarets have done almost everything right in their quest for promotion back to the Premier League at the first time of asking, and they know that two wins from the last two will definitely secure a top two finish. They face a trip to relegated Charlton on the final day of the season, and with Middlesbrough and Brighton playing each other, Burnley are guaranteed to finish above at lest one of those rivals if they win their own two games.

They have been nothing short of excellent since the Boxing Day defeat to Hull, winning 14 and drawing 7 of 21 Championship games in 2016. The only time they have tasted defeat in this calendar year is at the hands of Arsenal in the FA Cup, and there is little shame in that. Andre Gray has been banging in the goals all year, and with a suspect QPR defence coming to visit he will fancy his chances of getting on the scoresheet.

The Hoops are in a period of transition under Jimmy Floyd-Hasselbaink but the litmus test will be how his team performs next season rather than how they finish this one. QPR are languishing in 13th place in the league and have nothing left to play for but pride. However it’s only one win in seven overall, and just two wins in the last 20 away games.

Bristol City v Huddersfield

Finally we’re backing Over 2.5 goals when Bristol City host Huddersfield at 1.90Bet €100 to win €1909/10Bet £100 to win £190-111Bet $100 to win $1900.90Bet HK$100 to win HK$190-1.11Bet Rp100 to win Rp1900.9000Bet RM100 to win RM190  with Unibet

Niether side have anything left to play for – both are safe from relegation and although they occupy 16th and 20th positions, they are separated by just two points. Both teams score and concede plenty of goals and with no pressure on the game it could be wide open.

Seven of City’s last nine games have gone over the 2.5 line, as have five of Huddersfield’s last nine. The last two fixtures between the sides have each had three or more goals, and it would be no surprise at all to see a high-scoring result here.

Tips Summary

Brighton to beat Derby
Monday 2nd May, 14:30 GMT
Odds: 1.63Bet €100 to win €16363/100Bet £100 to win £163-159Bet $100 to win $1630.63Bet HK$100 to win HK$163-1.59Bet Rp100 to win Rp1630.6300Bet RM100 to win RM163

Burnley to beat QPR
Monday 2nd May, 16:45 GMT
Odds: 1.31Bet €100 to win €13131/100Bet £100 to win £131-323Bet $100 to win $1310.31Bet HK$100 to win HK$131-3.23Bet Rp100 to win Rp1310.3100Bet RM100 to win RM131

Bristol City v Huddersfield – Over 2.5 Goals
Saturdyay 30th April, 15:00 GMT
Odds: 1.90Bet €100 to win €1909/10Bet £100 to win £190-111Bet $100 to win $1900.90Bet HK$100 to win HK$190-1.11Bet Rp100 to win Rp1900.9000Bet RM100 to win RM190

  • Brighton
  • bristol city
  • burnley
  • Championship
  • Huddersfield

    About the author

    Eric Roberts
    Eric Roberts

    Sports Journalist

    Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.